I have spent the last three months compiling data over three separate surveys. At 95% confidence, and within a 3.7% +/- margin of error, 91.41% of Bernie Sanders supporters will not be voting for Hillary Clinton if she is the Democratic nominee.
Now that I have your attention, let’s talk about why that is. Bernie Sanders supporters consist of a diversity of people, from all walks of life. Each demographic has their own motives, but essentially what it boils down to is that we disagree on a fundamental level about money in politics.
The older generation, and GenX crowd witnessed the erosion of the Democratic Party into center-right policy and lukewarm opposition to right-wing extremism that has allowed our government to become beholden to corporations and big money.
The younger generation, the millenials who are professed to be the so-called “majority” of Bernie Sanders’ supporter base have inherited the debts and mistakes of lawmakers who have only represented such a small portion of the American population that there’s nothing left for them to identify with or relate to.
Roughly 23% of the whole, these millenials have no false sense of entitlement – the “good old days” of social and economic equality are completely unknown to them. Is it any wonder why their ideals are pushed off and seen as “lofty,” “pie in the sky,” and dismissed as near impossible?
Establishment politics and government have stamped a bar code on the foreheads of the middle class and the poor. The DNC has treated us more like a consumer base than the supporters of a candidate… And don’t get me started on the mainstream media. Sanders has been branded a socialist, far left, “fringe candidate.” Meanwhile, the narrative is “Trump is scary, please vote for Hillary regardless.” Only we’re not buying it.
If we owe the millenials anything within this entire campaign, it’s most certainly their proclivity to obtaining credible information from the areas they’ve been most accustomed. (The internet, YouTube, social media, etc.)
As a result, like a tidal wave, the vast majority of Sanders’ supporters quit buying into the propaganda machine, that in previous elections was the mechanism you all have used to garner support for your preferred candidates.
All of this is useful information, but I have yet to even get to the most earth shattering statistics. The data trends have also shown that after the New York primary, the margin of those who were undecided about voting for Hillary completely vanished.
The Democratic Party is falling apart right before your eyes. This is a train rolling steadily forward, and the party, itself, is tied to the tracks. On one side of you is a candidate wrought with corruption and innumerable scandals, and with questionable morality – flailing at the multitude of stones being thrown at her – and she can’t save you because she’s too busy saving herself.
On your other side is this outsider who empathizes with your situation.(Hint: It’s all of our situations but we have a different perspective.) He’s standing on the platform, millions of people behind him. To spite what you may believe about his loyalties, the enormous crowd behind him need only say the word and he would ensure you’d be freed from those oppressive chains.
The truth is, 61% identify as Democrat if they can vote for Bernie Sanders in November. Only just under 7% say they’ll stay with the Democratic Party if Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee.
This is serious. And before you dismiss these Democrats as those who’ve switched parties to vote in the primaries for Bernie, let me go ahead and dispel any would-be theory.
The above questions came from two separate surveys and as you can see, it’s still within the margin of error. You can also see that there are twice as many pre-Bernie Democrats as there are independents. That’s 25% additional voters in November. 25% additional that Hillary Clinton could not garner, herself. That should factor into your overall decision.
It goes without saying that in national polls, Bernie beats every Republican candidate by a landslide. Meanwhile Hillary has, in at least one poll presented on Huffpost – LOST to (of all candidates) Kasich. Her slight dominance over the other two potential candidates isn’t strong, and in fact, grows weaker each poll. Unfortunately, her favorability rating seems to drop daily and she’s yet to even face off with the Republicans, who will not be kind to her.
One in ten, or 12.9% Bernie supporters would actually vote for Trump because they are so disgusted with the system consistently giving us the perceived choice of the lesser of two evils. And you could argue that Hillary is, in fact, the lesser of two evils.
But those who would vote against Hillary believe her stances on foreign policy, the countless times she’s voted in the “wrong” direction, and her overall dishonesty speak volumes more to her character than do Trump’s insults, or Cruz’s delusions. Personally, I can’t blame them, though I, myself, wouldn’t vote for Trump, or any Republican.
I had originally thought of creating these surveys to prove that the mainstream media’s representation of Bernie Sanders supporters was, and continues to be grossly inaccurate. After reading an open letter to Bernie Sanders by a superdelegate in California – I realized that there must be many superdelegates who’ve bought the media’s pitch and therefore are not truly aware of the potential disaster that awaits the Democratic Party in November if Hillary is the nominee.
These surveys were designed to cross check each other. Respondents are from a variety of social media venues and many are not the same between surveys. Roughly one-third of all respondents took all three surveys. Either way, this isn’t rocket science. The numbers don’t lie. This train is coming and the choice you all will have to make is critical to the future of our country.
I do apologize for imposing this crisis of conscience upon you. But THE PEOPLE have been waiting for you, and we’re ready to do whatever it takes because for us – it’s our livelihoods at stake, it’s the future of this great nation. Bernie supporters are not just going to wake up one day having forgotten the atrocities committed by the DNC’s choice candidate. More to the point, the trust we presently have in the DNC weighs entirely upon July’s convention.
Our trust in the “system” has already been shaken.
No one knows who’s at fault here, but we do know who’s benefiting directly from the overwhelming amount of discrepancies, primarily in closed primary states. To ignore the clear evidence at the exit polls is nearly complicit. Where most democratic countries would not stand for a deviation in the exit polls beyond 4%, here in America, it doesn’t even get press coverage.
Almost two thirds of Bernie Sanders’ supporter base calls themselves a Democrat, so whatever the issue is – the DNC has yet to take a stand against voter suppression in a way that appeases both Democratic candidates’ supporters.
To us, this is why the question of Bernie’s loyalty is ludicrous. Where has the establishment or the Democratic Party shown loyalty to its constituents? Why should we commit to a party that has left many of us disenfranchised and without a voice? Bernie’s comment “We’ll see,” in reference to whether or not he would support the DNC no doubt refers to his commitment to the people and the “If” exists only to ensure that the DNC does its due diligence to the people.
We all know that Bernie is first and foremost loyal to the people. That is incredibly commendable and perhaps a large reason why the majority of us are so fervent in his favor, as well.
In the face of being disenfranchised by those who’ve claimed to have our best interests at heart, we’ve found no error in calling ourselves “Bernie or Bust.” All for a man with more integrity, and who’s been more honest, and courageous than any candidate many of us have ever had the pleasure of witnessing in our lifetime. He’s the embodiment of what we’ve thought and felt for years about government and the way things are done – but had always thought “it’s just the way things are.”
On critical issues like the pollution and destruction of our environment by way of fracking, and the pollution and destruction of our democracy by way of greed infiltrating our government and political system, as well as critical social issues beyond what Hillary had only evolved on as it became politically expedient, for countless smears against Bernie AND his supporters – for these reasons and many more, we cannot – in good conscience – EVER vote for Hillary Clinton. Unifying the party is not an option if the option is Hillary.
We don’t want our children and grandchildren subjected to the same vicious money grubbing system, with a price tag on their dreams and aspirations. It’s come to our attention that this is not “just the way it is,” and that we have the power to make things better for the generations to come in the hopes that maybe they won’t inherit the same burden.
Please stand with us, we ask this in kind. The DNC stands between Bernie and a presidency representative of the people. And we the people stand between the DNC and a victory for the Democrats.
A right and fair election would demonstrate how incredibly large our numbers are. We don’t have that luxury. But I’m confident that justice will prevail and the people will have the candidate that they feel most represents their best interests. I’m hopeful that history will reflect this pinnacle moment as one where love, honesty, integrity, and freedom won.
That’s all up to you.